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Merton  選擇權模型      (Merton   Model).............................177
                 Moody’s KMV (MKMV)...............................................179
                                                               TM
                 預期違約頻率       (Expected Default Frequency  ,  EDF  )...180
                             TM
                 CreditMetrics  模型   (CreditMetrics Model).................182
                 轉置矩陣     (Transition Matrix).......................................185
                 縮減式模型法        (Reduce Form   Model)............................187
                 馬可夫過程       (Markov Process)......................................189
                 單因子模型       (One-Factor   Model)..................................192
                 循環觀點的評分;及時點觀點的評分                    (Through-the-

                 Cycle  ,  TTC  ;  Point-in-Time  ,  PIT)..............................194
                 資產相關性       (Asset Corr  elation)....................................197
                                                               +
                 波氏機率分配        (Poisson Distribution  及  Creditrisk  )......200
                 迴歸分析模型        (Regression)..........................................203
                 邏吉斯迴歸分析模型            (Logistic Regression).................205
                 消費者信用評分         (Consumer Credit Scoring).................207
                 區隔分析     (Segmentation).............................................209
                 拒絕推論     (Reject Infe  rence).........................................211
                 好壞比值     (Good/Bad Odds)..........................................212

                 K-S  檢定   (Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test)..........................214
                 ROC  曲線與    AUC  值  ....................................................216
                 核准點    (Cut-Off).........................................................218
                 校準   (Alignment).........................................................220
                 樣本穩定度指標           (Population Stability Index)...............222
                 收入  負  債比     (Debt Burden Ratio  ,  DBR).......................224
                 資  料倉儲  、資   料超  市   (Data Warehouse  、  Data Mart)....226
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